Mooney on science issue cycles and tipping points ...
Chris Mooney wrote about science issue cycles in the Huffington Post
today, and about the reasons for global warming finally hitting
mainstream media in a way that systematically captured public
attention:
"2005 saw several key developments, including a focus on global
warming at the G8 meeting in Gleneagles, a record temperature year
globally, and most of all, Hurricane Katrina. The latter sparked
unprecedented levels of discussion of the relationship between
global warming and hurricanes in particular. ...
There can be little doubt, then, that rising levels of media
coverage of global warming over the past several years have helped
the issue reach an apparent tipping point. Yet we can't simply
point to the total volume of attention -- we must also consider the
content of press coverage over time. Several seeming shifts in the
narratives that journalists have been telling may have further
contributed to progress on the issue
(Click here for the full article.)
The idea of issue cycles, of course, is directly relevant to the
debates surrounding nanotech. Why and when will nano go mainstream?
And why does it matter? The answer, of course, is much more complex
than the naive speculations among some scientists about "Prey" and its
potential impact on the public. And the simplistic comparisons between
a potential movie version of "Prey" and "An Inconvenient Truth" make
little sense, based on what we know from decades of media effects
research.
As Mooney outlines nicely, "An Inconvenient Truth" was just one of a
myriad of interrelated factors that helped put global warming on the
public agenda. And its impact was largely indirect and contingent on
the media coverage triggered by pseudo events, such as the Oscar the
film won and its unlikely commercial success at the box office. Matt
Nisbet also discussed some of the parallel dynamics for nanotech over
at Framing Science last week.
The Huffington Post piece, of course, is also part of the events
surrounding the release of Mooney's new book Storm World. I haven't
had a chance to look at the book yet, but I know Mooney's previous
work, and if anything he is an excellent journalist. I am sure Storm
Wars will just provide more evidence of that. I will keep you posted.
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