The gay science
Over the centuries since Adam Smith, economists have developed
mathematical frameworks for maximizing economic success. However,
despite the intellectual power of these theories and the often simple
logic involved in their calculations, humans continue to amass credit
card debt, default on loans, fail to save for retirement, and on the
whole refuse to do what these rational, reward-maximizing equations
tell them to do.
The irrationality of human decision-making attracts the fierce
interest of two very different fields: neuroscience and economics.
Economic theories of human decision-making are essentially based on
two parameters: what something is worth and the probability of its
occurrence. Neuroscientists, on the other hand, think of
decision-making as a product of physical neural circuits: sensory
information enters the brain, journeys through the brain where a
decision is "made," and eventually exits the brain to evoke bodily
responses. Economics ignores these biological, more proximal roots of
behavior, whereas neuroscience ignores the economic goals that
ultimately guide our decisions.
These two approaches have recently been integrated in the hybrid field
of neuroeconomics. Neuroeconomics attempts to unify abstract economic
variables with neuroanatomy, and thus understand the physical
mechanisms by which our brains make decisions. The basic premise is
that somewhere along the sensory-motor circuit are the neural
substrates that represent "value" and "probability." These areas must
interact and influence the flow of information along the circuit,
thereby prompting a certain decision and its subsequent behavior. The
most pressing questions, then, are how and where these abstract
variables are combined in the brain, and the dynamics of the neural
computation which engenders a "decision."
Inherently, neuroeconomics is not a means to exploit the free market
by, for example, scanning the brains of consumers to calculate the
maximum price they will willingly pay for a good. Although such
endeavors are opportune beneficiaries of this sort of research, I
believe neuroeconomics to have grander, more noble intentions. As a
neuroscientist, I view neuroeconomics with bright, hopeful eyes, eager
for the insight that economics can lend the neurobiological study of
human behaviors. Although the former "dismal science" is abstract and
far removed from biological mechanisms, it offers one thing behavioral
studies tend to lack: great mathematical beauty.
Because economists base their models on optimal behavior, they have
the ability to develop a precise, unified framework for interpreting
human behavior; the thesis is, essentially, that humans choose
alternatives that maximize rewards. Neuroeconomics draws upon the
precision and rigor of the formal models of economics to go beyond the
sensory-motor circuit, allowing opportunities for understanding the
neural basis of more abstract economic ideas, such as value and the
profitabilities of outcomes (a bit more challenging to study than
sensory and motor systems). Thus, the principles of economics allows
neuroscientists to explore the physical mechanisms underlying high
level cognitive processes.
Particularly intriguing subjects for these studies are human choices
that violate simple logic,; those which are neither selfish nor
generous but blatantly, unbiasedly, irrational. I've previously
explored irrational behavior in my post on risk aversion; another
interesting example is "time inconsistency." When people make
decisions about the distant future, they tend to behave as rationally
as economic equations dictate. In contrast, when faced with the same
decision relating to the near future, they are reckless and impulsive,
unwilling to delay gratification. For example, when people are offered
the choice of $20 now or $22 in a month, they often choose to receive
the smaller amount immediately. However, if given the choice between
$20 in a year or $22 in a year and one month, they will choose the
higher, delayed amount. This is irrational; in both situations, the
time delay (1 month) and financial gain ($2) are equal, so the
decision should be the same (the higher amount should always be
chosen.)
Another example of irrational impulsivity is less quantitative than
the above, but involves a more flagrant demonstration of vice versus
virtue. If offered the choice of a chocolate bar now or an apple now,
most people demand immediate gratification and will choose chocolate.
But if offered to receive a chocolate bar in one week or an apple in
one week, people will consider the long-term effects of each and
prefer the apple.
Back in 2004, Jon Cohen, Director for the Study of Brain, Mind, and
Behavior of Princeton University, teamed up with George Loewenstein of
Carnegie Mellon to take a neuroeconomic approach to this perplexing
behavior. Using fMRI, they searched for changes in brain activity as
the subjects made decisions between small immediate rewards or larger
delayed rewards, attempting to link irrational displays of
time-inconsistency with brain activity. The results, published in
Science, suggested that decisions involved with the possibility of
immediate reward activated the limbic system, which is associated with
emotion, while both short- and long-term decisions activated the
prefrontal cortex (PFC), associated with logical, abstract reasoning.
Interestingly, when students had the choice of an immediate reward but
chose the larger, delayed option, the PFC was more strongly activated
than the limbic system. In contrast, when they chose the immediate
reward, the activity of the two regions was similar (with a trend
toward more activity in the limbic system.) This data suggests that
both systems are involved in the neural representation of "value," and
that the decision-making process is guided by, as the authors state
rather poetically, "a competition between the impetuous limbic
grasshopper and the provident prefrontal ant within each of us."
Thus, by exploring the neural processes by which the brain generates
economic decisions, the authors were able to gain insight into the
circuit-level computations that may govern complex behaviors. The
extent to which the computations of economic theory can truly be
generalized to the computations performed by the brain (as well as to
more complex decision tasks) is unknown, but the aims and progress of
this field are promising. From the economist's point of view,
neuroeconomics may be far "messier" than economics, but the
theoretical analysis of what humans should do isn't, to me, nearly as
fascinating as understanding what they actually do, and neuroeconomics
brings us far closer to reality.
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